The carbon-removal approach would extract CO2 from other gases in the atmosphere by changing it into other forms of carbon (such as carbonate) through photosynthesis or artificial “scrubbing.” This separated carbon then would be either sequestered in biomass at the surface or transported away for storage in the ocean or underground. Several carbon-removal geoengineering schemes have been considered. These include carbon burial, ocean fertilization, biochar production, and scrubbing towers or “artificial trees.”

Carbon burial

Carbon burial, more commonly known as carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), involves the pumping of pressurized CO2 into suitable geological structures (that is, with gas-tight upper layers to cap the buried carbon) deep underground or in the deep ocean (see carbon sequestration). The premise is that CO2 generated from the combustion of fossil fuels could be separated from other industrial emissions before these emissions were released into the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide could then be pumped through pipes into geological formations and stored for extended periods of time. The process of carbon burial requires the identification of many suitable sites followed by stringent leak-testing of individual sites. So far, injections of compressed CO2 have been used to aid in the extraction of natural gas, such as in the Sleipner Vest field in the North Sea, and the United States Department of Energy has funded the construction of several carbon-storage sites. In 2019 some 49.3 million metric tons (54.3 million tons) of carbon dioxide were injected underground in the United States. Although the majority of existing CCUS facilities occur in the United States and Europe, CCUS investment has expanded worldwide since 2017, with several governments, such as those of China, Australia, and New Zealand, announcing plans to expand their capacity. The carbon-burial process could also make use of carbon dioxide captured from the atmosphere using scrubbers (see below Scrubbers and artificial trees).

Ocean fertilization

Ocean fertilization would increase the uptake of CO2 from the air by phytoplankton, microscopic plants that reside at or near the surface of the ocean. The premise is that the phytoplankton, after blooming, would die and sink to the ocean floor, taking with them the CO2 that they had photosynthesized into new tissues. Although some of the material that sank would be returned to the surface through the process of upwelling, it is thought that a small but significant proportion of the carbon would remain on the ocean floor and become stored as sedimentary rock.

Ocean fertilization, which some scientists refer to as bio-geoengineering, would involve dissolving iron or nitrates into the surface waters of specific ocean regions to promote the growth of phytoplankton where primary productivity is low. For the scheme to be effective, it is thought that a sustained effort would be required from a fleet of vessels covering most of the ocean. Many authorities maintain that this scheme would take decades to unfold.

Biochar production

The production of biochar, a type of charcoal made from animal wastes and plant residues (such as wood chips, leaves, and husks), can sequester carbon by circumventing the normal decomposition process or acting as a fertilizer to enhance the sequestration rate of growing biomass. Normally, as organic material decomposes, the microbes breaking it down use oxygen and release CO2. If, however, the material were “cooked” in the absence of oxygen, it would decompose rapidly through pyrolysis. Little or no CO2 would be released, and the bulk of the organic material would harden into a kind of porous charcoal, essentially sequestering the carbon as a solid. Biochar mixed with soils might serve as a fertilizer, thus further increasing the carbon sequestration potential of plants growing in the soil. Some environmentalists see biochar as a breakthrough in carbon-sequestration technology, but its ability to reduce CO2 concentrations at global scales is a matter of some debate. In addition, some scientists see problems in ramping up the biochar production process to global scales, since farmers would have to decide between making charcoal for fertilizer or burning plant residue in cooking fires.

Direct air capture

Another form of carbon capture, called direct air capture (DAC), would involve the use of scrubbing towers and so-called artificial trees. In the scrubbing tower method, air would be funneled into a large confined space within the towers by wind-driven turbines. As the air is taken in, it would be sprayed with one of several chemical compounds, such as sodium hydroxide, potassium hydroxide, or calcium hydroxide. These chemicals would react with the CO2 in the air to precipitate carbonate salts or react with water to form weak acids. These by-products could then be piped to permanent safe storage locations, such as gaps between layers of rock. Since these acids react easily with basalt rocks to mineralize into carbonate rocks in only a few years, chemists and climate scientists note that basalt formations, which occur in volcanic landscapes, could be useful storage locations. Since the world’s oceans absorb about 31 percent of carbon dioxide emissions from the atmosphere, similar methods designed to extract carbon dioxide from seawater have been proposed.

In contrast, artificial trees essentially would be a series of sticky, resin-covered filters that would convert captured CO2 to a carbonate called soda ash. Periodically, the soda ash would be washed off the filters and collected for storage.

So far, several prototypes of each method have been built. Most scientists argue that thousands of scrubbing towers would be needed to counteract rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations at global scales. Reports estimate that even with drastic cuts in carbon dioxide emissions, more than 10 billion metric tons (11 billion tons) of carbon dioxide would need to be removed from the atmosphere per year to hold the average temperature increases from global warming to 1.5 °C (2.7 °F).

Philip Boyd The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica

climate change

Also known as: climate variation, climatic change, climatic fluctuation, climatic variation

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climate change, periodic modification of Earth’s climate brought about as a result of changes in the atmosphere as well as interactions between the atmosphere and various other geologic, chemical, biological, and geographic factors within the Earth system.

The atmosphere is a dynamic fluid that is continually in motion. Both its physical properties and its rate and direction of motion are influenced by a variety of factors, including solar radiation, the geographic position of continents, ocean currents, the location and orientation of mountain ranges, atmospheric chemistry, and vegetation growing on the land surface. All these factors change through time. Some factors, such as the distribution of heat within the oceans, atmospheric chemistry, and surface vegetation, change at very short timescales. Others, such as the position of continents and the location and height of mountain ranges, change over very long timescales. Therefore, climate, which results from the physical properties and motion of the atmosphere, varies at every conceivable timescale.

Climate is often defined loosely as the average weather at a particular place, incorporating such features as temperature, precipitation, humidity, and windiness. A more specific definition would state that climate is the mean state and variability of these features over some extended time period. Both definitions acknowledge that the weather is always changing, owing to instabilities in the atmosphere. And as weather varies from day to day, so too does climate vary, from daily day-and-night cycles up to periods of geologic time hundreds of millions of years long. In a very real sense, climate variation is a redundant expression—climate is always varying. No two years are exactly alike, nor are any two decades, any two centuries, or any two millennia.

This article addresses the concept of climatic variation and change within the set of integrated natural features and processes known as the Earth system. The nature of the evidence for climate change is explained, as are the principal mechanisms that have caused climate change throughout the history of Earth. Finally, a detailed description is given of climate change over many different timescales, ranging from a typical human life span to all of geologic time. For a detailed description of the development of Earth’s atmosphere, see the article atmosphere, evolution of. For full treatment of the most critical issue of climate change in the contemporary world, see global warming.

The Earth system

The atmosphere is influenced by and linked to other features of Earth, including oceans, ice masses (glaciers and sea ice), land surfaces, and vegetation. Together, they make up an integrated Earth system, in which all components interact with and influence one another in often complex ways. For instance, climate influences the distribution of vegetation on Earth’s surface (e.g., deserts exist in arid regions, forests in humid regions), but vegetation in turn influences climate by reflecting radiant energy back into the atmosphere, transferring water (and latent heat) from soil to the atmosphere, and influencing the horizontal movement of air across the land surface.

Combination shot of Grinnell Glacier taken from the summit of Mount Gould, Glacier National Park, Montana in the years 1938, 1981, 1998 and 2006.
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Earth scientists and atmospheric scientists are still seeking a full understanding of the complex feedbacks and interactions among the various components of the Earth system. This effort is being facilitated by the development of an interdisciplinary science called Earth system science. Earth system science is composed of a wide range of disciplines, including climatology (the study of the atmosphere), geology (the study of Earth’s surface and underground processes), ecology (the study of how Earth’s organisms relate to one another and their environment), oceanography (the study of Earth’s oceans), glaciology (the study of Earth’s ice masses), and even the social sciences (the study of human behaviour in its social and cultural aspects).

A full understanding of the Earth system requires knowledge of how the system and its components have changed through time. The pursuit of this understanding has led to development of Earth system history, an interdisciplinary science that includes not only the contributions of Earth system scientists but also paleontologists (who study the life of past geologic periods), paleoclimatologists (who study past climates), paleoecologists (who study past environments and ecosystems), paleoceanographers (who study the history of the oceans), and other scientists concerned with Earth history. Because different components of the Earth system change at different rates and are relevant at different timescales, Earth system history is a diverse and complex science. Students of Earth system history are not just concerned with documenting what has happened; they also view the past as a series of experiments in which solar radiation, ocean currents, continental configurations, atmospheric chemistry, and other important features have varied. These experiments provide opportunities to learn the relative influences of and interactions between various components of the Earth system. Studies of Earth system history also specify the full array of states the system has experienced in the past and those the system is capable of experiencing in the future.

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Undoubtedly, people have always been aware of climatic variation at the relatively short timescales of seasons, years, and decades. Biblical scripture and other early documents refer to droughts, floods, periods of severe cold, and other climatic events. Nevertheless, a full appreciation of the nature and magnitude of climatic change did not come about until the late 18th and early 19th centuries, a time when the widespread recognition of the deep antiquity of Earth occurred. Naturalists of this time, including Scottish geologist Charles Lyell, Swiss-born naturalist and geologist Louis Agassiz, English naturalist Charles Darwin, American botanist Asa Gray, and Welsh naturalist Alfred Russel Wallace, came to recognize geologic and biogeographic evidence that made sense only in the light of past climates radically different from those prevailing today.

Geologists and paleontologists in the 19th and early 20th centuries uncovered evidence of massive climatic changes taking place before the Pleistocene—that is, before some 2.6 million years ago. For example, red beds indicated aridity in regions that are now humid (e.g., England and New England), whereas fossils of coal-swamp plants and reef corals indicated that tropical climates once occurred at present-day high latitudes in both Europe and North America. Since the late 20th century the development of advanced technologies for dating rocks, together with geochemical techniques and other analytical tools, have revolutionized the understanding of early Earth system history.

The occurrence of multiple epochs in recent Earth history during which continental glaciers, developed at high latitudes, penetrated into northern Europe and eastern North America was recognized by scientists by the late 19th century. Scottish geologist James Croll proposed that recurring variations in orbital eccentricity (the deviation of Earth’s orbit from a perfectly circular path) were responsible for alternating glacial and interglacial periods. Croll’s controversial idea was taken up by Serbian mathematician and astronomer Milutin Milankovitch in the early 20th century. Milankovitch proposed that the mechanism that brought about periods of glaciation was driven by cyclic changes in eccentricity as well as two other orbital parameters: precession (a change in the directional focus of Earth’s axis of rotation) and axial tilt (a change in the inclination of Earth’s axis with respect to the plane of its orbit around the Sun). Orbital variation is now recognized as an important driver of climatic variation throughout Earth’s history (see below Orbital [Milankovitch] variations).