Trends

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Criminology represents a diverse body of knowledge that incorporates a wide variety of approaches. Although few contemporary trends can be applied to the whole field of study, it is nonetheless the case that much research is increasingly quantitative, particularly in studies examining the causes of crime. Some of this work applies the statistical approach originated by Quetelet to explain the crime rates associated with particular societies and social groups; other work employs the approach originated by Lombroso to explain the likelihood of an individual’s committing a crime in terms of his biological, psychological, or social characteristics. In addition, these approaches are increasingly aimed at probabilistic predictions rather than absolute or deterministic ones. Finally, criminologists now tend to concentrate on identifying factors in societies that are associated with relatively small increases in crime rates and factors in individuals that are associated with relatively small increases in the probability that they will commit crimes. All of this reflects the inherent complexity of the subject and points to the conclusion that no single factor actually determines whether an individual commits a crime or whether a society has high or low crime rates.

Hermann Mannheim Thomas J. Bernard