The recognition of the dangers presented by chlorine and bromine to the ozone layer spawned an international effort to restrict the production and the use of CFCs and other halocarbons. The 1987 Montreal Protocol on Substances That Deplete the Ozone Layer began the phaseout of CFCs in 1993 and sought to achieve a 50 percent reduction in global consumption from 1986 levels by 1998. A series of amendments to the Montreal Protocol in the following years was designed to strengthen the controls on CFCs and other halocarbons. By 2005 the consumption of ozone-depleting chemicals controlled by the agreement had fallen by 90–95 percent in the countries that were parties to the protocol.

During the early 2000s, scientists expected that stratospheric ozone levels would continue to rise slowly over subsequent decades. The size of the Antarctic ozone hole reached its greatest extent in 2000, when it spanned 29.9 million square km (11.5 million square miles); by 2021 its area had shrunk to 24.8 million square km (9.6 million square miles). Indeed, some scientists contended that as levels of reactive chlorine and bromine declined in the stratosphere, the worst of ozone depletion would pass. Factoring in variations in air temperatures (which contribute to the size of ozone holes), scientists expected that continued reductions in chlorine loading would result in smaller ozone holes above Antarctica after 2040.

A 2018 United Nations report estimated that the Antarctic ozone hole would close slowly and stratospheric ozone concentrations would return to 1980 values by the 2060s. Above the Arctic, ozone levels are expected to return to 1980 values by the mid-2030s. The expected increases in ozone would be gradual primarily because of the long residence times of CFCs and other halocarbons in the atmosphere. Total ozone levels, as well as the distribution of ozone in the troposphere and stratosphere, would also depend on other changes in atmospheric composition—for example, changes in levels of carbon dioxide (which affects temperatures in both the troposphere and the stratosphere), methane (which affects the levels of reactive hydrogen oxides in the troposphere and stratosphere that can react with ozone), and nitrous oxide (which affects levels of nitrogen oxides in the stratosphere that can react with ozone).

Scientists in 2014 observed a small increase in stratospheric ozone—the first, they thought, in more than 20 years—which they attributed to worldwide compliance with international treaties regarding the phaseout of ozone-depleting chemicals and to upper stratospheric cooling because of increased carbon dioxide. Upon more thorough study, however, scientists in 2016 announced that stratospheric ozone concentrations had actually been increasing in the upper stratosphere since 2000 while the size of the Antarctic ozone hole had been decreasing. Overall ozone concentrations away from the poles have continued to fall since 1998; however, a 2018 study showed that declines in ozone concentrations in the lower stratosphere contrasted with gains made in the upper stratosphere between 60° N and 60° S. Another sign of the ozone layer’s recovery occurred in September 2019, when scientists recorded the smallest ozone hole since 1982 (some 16.3 million square km [6.3 million square miles] at its peak extent) above Antarctica. (In 1982 the ozone hole’s peak extent was a little less than 16.1 million square km [6.2 million square miles].)

Studies note that continued reductions in ozone-depleting chemicals that follow the schedule proposed by the Montreal Protocol and its follow-up agreements are expected to result in a return to 1980-level ozone concentrations above the poles by the middle of the 21st century, perhaps as early as 2040. A 2023 report by the United Nations noted that the Antarctic and Arctic ozone holes are expected to recover by 2066 and 2045, respectively.

Since ozone is a greenhouse gas, the breakdown and anticipated recovery of the ozone layer affects Earth’s climate. Scientific analyses show that the decrease in stratospheric ozone observed since the 1970s has produced a cooling effect—or, more accurately, that it has counteracted a small part of the warming that has resulted from rising concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases during this period. As the ozone layer slowly recovers in the coming decades, this cooling effect is expected to recede.

Donald Wuebbles The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica
Also called:
ozonosphere
Related Topics:
atmosphere
ozone depletion
ozone

ozone layer, region of the upper atmosphere, between roughly 15 and 35 km (9 and 22 miles) above Earth’s surface, containing relatively high concentrations of ozone molecules (O3). Approximately 90 percent of the atmosphere’s ozone occurs in the stratosphere, the region extending from 10–18 km (6–11 miles) to approximately 50 km (about 30 miles) above Earth’s surface. In the stratosphere the temperature of the atmosphere rises with increasing height, a phenomenon created by the absorption of solar radiation by the ozone layer. The ozone layer effectively blocks almost all solar radiation of wavelengths less than 290 nm from reaching Earth’s surface, including certain types of ultraviolet (UV) and other forms of radiation that could injure or kill most living things.

Location in Earth’s atmosphere

In the midlatitudes the peak concentrations of ozone occur at altitudes from 20 to 25 km (about 12 to 16 miles). Peak concentrations are found at altitudes from 26 to 28 km (about 16 to 17 miles) in the tropics and from about 12 to 20 km (about 7 to 12 miles) toward the poles. The lower height of the peak-concentration region in the high latitudes largely results from poleward and downward atmospheric transport processes that occur in the middle and high latitudes and the reduced height of the tropopause (the transition region between the troposphere and stratosphere).

Most of the remaining ozone occurs in the troposphere, the layer of the atmosphere that extends from Earth’s surface up to the stratosphere. Near-surface ozone often results from interactions between certain pollutants (such as nitrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds), strong sunlight, and hot weather. It is one of the primary ingredients in photochemical smog, a phenomenon that plagues many urban and suburban areas around the world, especially during the summer months.

Ozone creation and destruction

The production of ozone in the stratosphere results primarily from the breaking of the chemical bonds within oxygen molecules (O2) by high-energy solar photons. This process, called photodissociation, results in the release of single oxygen atoms, which later join with intact oxygen molecules to form ozone. Rising atmospheric oxygen concentrations some two billion years ago allowed ozone to build up in Earth’s atmosphere, a process that gradually led to the formation of the stratosphere. Scientists believe that the formation of the ozone layer played an important role in the development of life on Earth by screening out lethal levels of UVB radiation (ultraviolet radiation with wavelengths between 315 and 280 nm) and thus facilitating the migration of life-forms from the oceans to land.

The amount of ozone in the stratosphere varies naturally throughout the year as a result of chemical processes that create and destroy ozone molecules and as a result of winds and other transport processes that move ozone molecules around the planet. Over the course of several decades, however, human activities substantially altered the ozone layer. Ozone depletion, the global decrease in stratospheric ozone observed since the 1970s, is most pronounced in polar regions, and it is well correlated with the increase of chlorine and bromine in the stratosphere. Those chemicals, once freed by UV radiation from the chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and other halocarbons (carbon-halogen compounds) that contain them, destroy ozone by stripping away single oxygen atoms from ozone molecules. Depletion is so extensive that so-called ozone holes (regions of severely reduced ozone coverage) form over the poles during the onset of their respective spring seasons. The largest such hole—which has spanned more than 20.7 million square km (8 million square miles) on a consistent basis since 1992—appears annually over Antarctica between September and November.

As the amount of stratospheric ozone declines, more UV radiation reaches Earth’s surface, and scientists worry that such increases could have significant effects on ecosystems and human health. The concern over exposure to biologically harmful levels of UV radiation has been the main driver of the creation of international treaties such as the Montreal Protocol on Substances That Deplete the Ozone Layer and its amendments, designed to protect Earth’s ozone layer. The Montreal Protocol has been a success: some 99 percent of the ozone-depleting chemicals regulated by the treaty have been phased out since its adoption in 1987. Compliance with international treaties that phased out the production and delivery of many ozone-depleting chemicals, combined with upper stratospheric cooling due to increased carbon dioxide, is thought to have contributed to the shrinking of the ozone holes over the poles and to slightly higher stratospheric ozone levels overall. Studies note that continued reductions in ozone-depleting chemicals that follow the schedule proposed by the Montreal Protocol and its follow-up agreements are expected to result in a return to 1980-level ozone concentrations above the poles by as early as 2040, with the closure of the ozone holes above Antarctica by about 2066 and above the Arctic by about 2045.

Donald Wuebbles The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica