China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), massive bilateral project to improve infrastructure within Pakistan for better trade with China and to further integrate the countries of South Asia. It is part of the larger Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to improve connectivity, trade, communication, and cooperation between the countries of Eurasia announced by China in 2013.

The project was launched on April 20, 2015, when Chinese Pres. Xi Jinping and Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif signed 51 agreements and memorandums of understanding valued at $46 billion. The goal of the CPEC is both to transform Pakistan’s economy—by modernizing its road, rail, air, and energy transportation systems—and to connect the deep-sea Pakistani ports of Gwadar and Karachi to the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in China and beyond by overland routes. (Xinjiang borders the countries of Mongolia, Russia, KazakhstanKyrgyzstanTajikistanAfghanistan, Pakistan, and India, and the ancient Silk Road ran through its territory.) This aims to reduce the time and cost of transporting goods and energy such as natural gas to China by circumventing the Strait of Malacca and the South China Sea. The initiative was also set to open several special economic zones (SEZs), modeled on similar zones in China that offer incentives for investment and are intended to spur rapid economic growth. The announcement of joint space and satellite initiatives between Pakistan and China, spurred by the CPEC, followed in 2016.

By the end of the 2010s, the program had achieved a number of successes for Pakistan, particularly in terms of infrastructure. Hundreds of miles of highways and railways had been completed. Pakistan’s capacity for electric power generation had also increased dramatically; although renewable energy made up only a fraction of the new energy projects, the country’s first solar power plant was inaugurated in May 2015. The Orange Line Metro Train system in Lahore, launched in October 2020 and the first of its kind in the country, was the most lauded urban project to come out of the early CPEC program.

But the CPEC initiatives proved to be a significant burden on Pakistan’s already strained balance of payments. Five years into the program, debt owed to China made up more than one-fourth of Pakistan’s total debt as it struggled to make its external payments. The economic impact of the global COVID-19 pandemic also slowed progress on CPEC projects, exacerbated Pakistan’s economic crisis, and left China hesitant to grant leniency on debt payments. Although the project gave a boost to job creation in Pakistan, promises that it would bolster Pakistan’s industrial sector and increase exports remained largely unrealized into the early 2020s. And even though the CPEC had expanded energy infrastructure, the costs for fossil fuel and upgrading an aging power grid led to continued power shortages and failures throughout the country. Furthermore, some construction, especially in the province of Balochistan, faced setbacks from violence by local militants who were opposed to the CPEC projects in their area.

Shayan Rauf Adam Zeidan

Also called:
New Silk Road
Formerly:
One Belt, One Road (OBOR or 1B1R)
Location:
China

Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Chinese-led massive infrastructure investment project aimed at improving connectivity, trade, and communication across Eurasia, Latin America, and Africa. Among the infrastructure projects it has supported are airports, ports, power plants, bridges, railways, roads, and telecommunications networks. Whereas China emphasizes that the BRI aims to enhance economic connections and collaborations in the targeted regions, many in the West view it as a strategy to expand China’s sphere of economic and political influence around the globe.

BRI infrastructure projects connect China with different parts of the world: by land with regions such as Southeast, South, and Central Asia, as well as Europe; and by sea with coastal areas, including Southeast and South Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Africa. Major projects that have been developed under the BRI include the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), the China–Mongolia–Russia Economic Corridor, and the New Eurasia Land Bridge. More than 140 countries, including several members of the European Union, have signed on to the BRI. China has lent more than $1 trillion to developing countries and has become one of the largest creditors to developing countries.

Early development

The initiative was launched by Chinese Pres. Xi Jinping in 2013, the same year he came to power. In September 2013, during an official visit to Kazakhstan, Xi announced the Silk Road Economic Belt, a plan to develop overland infrastructure to connect the region. The Silk Road—an ancient trade route linking China with the West—inspired the project. Several weeks later, Xi announced the Maritime Silk Road project to bolster the connectivity between Asia and East Africa through ocean routes. The projects were collectively called One Belt, One Road. Later, in 2015, the English translation of the initiative was recast as the Belt and Road Initiative to reflect the project’s scope, which had expanded significantly since its launch.

BRI’s impact

The BRI has had a significant economic impact across the world. Although Chinese contractors and construction companies often carry out the projects, China claimed that the initiative had created more than 400,000 jobs in the host countries and helped to lift more than 40 million people out of poverty. One of the most significant projects of the BRI is the CPEC, a bilateral project that aims to facilitate trade between China and Pakistan. It has been estimated that the investment for CPEC-related projects is more than $60 billion. Through the CPEC, hundreds of miles of highways and railways as well as the country’s first solar power plant were built in the 2010s. Another large-scale BRI undertaking is a liquefied natural gas plant on the Yamal Peninsula in the Russian Arctic, a collaborative project between China and Russia.

Whereas some experts pointed out that several projects have been left unfinished or poorly executed, China reported that more than 3,000 projects have been completed under the BRI worldwide. In October 2023, to celebrate the 10th anniversary of the launch of the BRI, representatives of dozens of countries gathered in Beijing. Among the high-profile figures representing their countries at the BRI summit were Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. In the early 2020s, China invested in new projects valued at approximately $100 billion.

Concerns surrounding the BRI

Despite the achievements of the BRI, the initiative has proved to be a significant burden on developing countries’ finances, with some experts fearing that these countries have been pushed to the edge of economic collapse. The economic impact of the global COVID-19 pandemic and global inflation caused by the Russia-Ukraine War also slowed progress on projects, exacerbated financial difficulties, and made BRI loans even more unsustainable. Pakistan, for example, has struggled to make external payments, as one-fourth of its total debt is owed to China. Similarly, Sri Lanka has struggled to repay its debt to China from a billion-dollar port project outside Colombo. After negotiations with China in 2017, Sri Lanka agreed to lease the port and 15,000 acres (6,000 hectares) of land around it to China for 99 years. Because of those instances in which China has taken assets from borrowers after they have struggled to repay their debts, in 2023 U.S. Pres. Joe Biden called the BRI a “debt and noose agreement.” China, however, denies such allegations, and, according to a study published by the World Bank and other institutions, the country spent $240 billion to bail out about 22 countries from 2008 to 2021 and renegotiated or wrote off approximately $78 billion in debt from 2020 to 2022.

Some experts also have raised concerns about BRI’s adverse environmental effects, including greenhouse gas emissions. Countries such as Kenya, Bangladesh, and Vietnam have opposed coal projects. Responding to environmental concerns as well as the slowing of its economy as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, China announced in 2021 that the BRI would focus more on smaller-scale projects that would be environmentally friendly. China also pledged to halt financing coal-fired power plant projects. Since the announcement, there has been a shift from investment in coal-fired power plant projects to renewable energy projects.

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Chinatsu Tsuji