The components of propaganda
Contemporary propagandists employing behavioral theory tend to analyze their problem in terms of at least 10 questions:
1. What are the goals of the propaganda? (What changes are to be brought about? In whom? And when?)
2. What are the present and expected conditions in the world social system?
3. What are the present and expected conditions in each of the subsystems of the world social system (such as international regions, nations, lesser territories, interest groups)?
4. Who should distribute the propaganda—the propagandists or their agents?
5. What symbols should be used?
6. What media should be used?
7. Which reactors should the propaganda be aimed at?
8. How can the effects of the propaganda be measured?
9. By what countermeasures can opponents neutralize or suppress the propaganda?
10. How can such countermeasures be measured and dealt with?
In the present state of social science, this 10-part problem can be solved with only moderate confidence with respect to any really major propaganda campaign, even if one has a great deal of money for research. Yet if propagandists are to proceed as rationally as possible, they need the best answers that are available.
Goals
Goals are fairly easy to define if propagandists simply want to sell a relatively safe, useful, and simple good or service. When propagandists aim to convert great numbers of people to a religion or a new social order or to induce extremely dangerous collective action like a war or revolution, however, the definition of goals becomes highly complex. It is complicated further by problems about “means–goals” or intermediate goals: probably the campaign will have to go on for a long time and will have to be planned in stages, phases, or waves. Propagandists may find it hard to specify, even to themselves, exactly what beliefs, values, or actions they want to bring about, by what points in time, among different sorts of people. Very large and firmly held complexes of values are involved, such as prestige, peace of mind, income, and even life itself or the military security of entire nations or regions—even, in modern times, the annihilation of all humankind. In such a situation, a mass of intricate and thorny value dilemmas arises: Is military or revolutionary victory worth the price of economic ruin? Can a desired degree of individual liberty be achieved without too much loss of social equality? Is a much quicker achievement of goals worth a much greater amount of human suffering? Are war crimes to be committed in order to win a battle? In short: What are the propagandists willing to risk, for what, across what periods of time?
Present and expected conditions in the world social system
Under modern conditions, each act of propaganda is apt to have effects in several parts of the world. Some of these may boomerang unexpectedly against the propagandists themselves unless they can visualize the global system and its components and anticipate the problems that may arise. The global system, moreover, is inexorably changing. As population, trade, travel, education, and technology evolve, new centres of political, cultural, and economic power emerge. This social evolution, extremely rapid in current times, tends on balance to limit the use of more simplistic and parochial kinds of propaganda and increases the need for more sophisticated, scientifically formulated, and universalistic (world-oriented) types.
Present and expected conditions in subsystems
In many times and places in the past and in certain circumstances in the present, propagandists have profited handsomely by ignoring the welfare of a nation or the world and appealing to extremes of religious, racial, political, or economic fanaticism. This has paid off very well, in the short run at least, within many subsystems. But it has also been successful within whole nations, particularly when the propagandists’ goal was to sow discord and confusion rather than to influence opinion across a broad population. Prudent propagandists must therefore decide what mix of universalistic and particularistic symbolism will best serve their purposes at given times in given places. The choice is never an easy one: parochial or class-conscious or national groups may be aroused to the highest passions, and they are numerous and diverse and often highly incompatible with one another and with the imperatives of the nation or the world.